Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 24.094663 27.109863 30.290101 33.887932 37.838485 42.037563 46.831631
2024-12-15 20.497483 24.787838 29.582814 35.313920 41.951129 49.368846 58.257745
2024-12-22 17.214775 22.273269 28.238053 35.731948 44.831814 55.457325 68.730792
2024-12-29 15.424713 21.224870 28.402803 37.827999 49.754808 64.213552 82.920387
2025-01-05 13.380142 19.554961 27.562570 38.528769 52.952353 71.054490 95.236646
2025-01-12 11.109689 17.259528 25.617983 37.549751 53.844114 74.985139 104.096160
2025-01-19 9.197762 15.178417 23.688605 36.331966 54.224224 78.171749 112.085538
2025-01-26 8.444245 14.664752 23.862917 37.986343 58.561602 86.798628 127.691946
2025-02-02 8.198085 14.878792 25.087741 41.206386 65.265457 98.976314 148.703628
2025-02-09 7.632312 14.501661 25.361110 43.001454 69.985540 108.589210 166.585447
2025-02-16 6.823375 13.609755 24.727217 43.327942 72.507374 115.145564 180.399769
2025-02-23 5.931140 12.448494 23.528188 42.636716 73.390793 119.299700 190.872663
2025-03-02 5.241542 11.577951 22.753922 42.611145 75.375775 125.302116 204.528968
2025-03-09 4.745387 10.997749 22.410025 43.250710 78.427306 133.034855 221.079531
2025-03-16 4.182825 10.204226 21.600853 43.018535 80.029125 138.592494 234.562009
2025-03-23 3.972291 10.096865 22.027247 44.958829 85.317663 150.129820 257.674423
2025-03-30 3.600541 9.592217 21.651150 45.424029 88.126052 157.832522 275.101009
2025-04-06 3.074965 8.662286 20.347775 44.072885 87.703342 160.271473 284.280176
2025-04-13 2.603479 7.771250 19.013735 42.530986 86.812280 161.849003 292.078016
2025-04-20 2.487886 7.718900 19.399519 44.315517 91.955364 173.660421 316.879892
2025-04-27 2.529712 8.067626 20.663630 47.903662 100.547934 191.594622 352.293040
2025-05-04 2.432791 8.043293 21.114396 49.888355 106.268847 204.828706 380.327149
2025-05-11 2.219591 7.675202 20.767846 50.223124 108.914976 212.856799 399.915847